Consumption and Saving
By hypothesis, consumption (C) and saving (S) are functions of disposable income (DI). To keep matters simple-and reflecting empirical data-let’s suppose the relationship between C and DI is linear, of the form C = a + bDI. Here we can see that a is the amount of consumption at a zero level of DI. It is sometimes called "autonomous consumption," that is, consumption that occurs independent of the level of disposable income. Likewise, b is the slope, D C/D DI, and goes by the name "marginal propensity to consume," or MPC. By assumption, 0 < b < 1.
The "breakeven" level of DI occurs where C is equal to DI. Equating the two, we have C = a + bDI = DI. Solving this for DI we obtain the breakeven level of disposable income, DIBE = a/(1 - b), provided of course that b is not equal to 1. We are safe by our assumption that b is strictly less than one. In the example given in the text, autonomous consumption, a, is equal to $97.5 billion and b = .75, so that C = 97.5 + .75DI. Hence, the breakeven level of DI is found to be 97.5/(1 - .75) = $390 billion.
By definition, saving (S) is any part of disposable income not consumed: S = DI - C. Since C = a + bDI, we can substitute to find that S = DI - (a + bDI) = -a + (1 - b)DI. This is also a linear relationship with intercept equal to the minus of the consumption schedule intercept (-a) and slope equal to one minus the slope of the consumption schedule D S/D DI = (1 - b). This slope is known as the "marginal propensity to save," or MPS. Adding the MPC and the MPS we find b + (1 - b) = 1.
At the breakeven level of disposable income, C = DI. Since C + S = DI at all levels of income, this implies that S = 0 at the break-even level. Setting S = -a + (1 - b)DI = 0 and solving for DI we obtain DIBE = a/(1 - b) as before.
The "average propensity to consume"
or APC is defined as C/DI. Likewise, the average propensity to
save is S/DI. First, consider the APC. The consumption schedule
tells us that C = a + bDI, so that the APC is related to
DI in the following way: C/DI =
=
. Since a
and b are positive by assumption, this tells us that the APC is positive
for all values of DI. We can also note that the APC declines with increases
in DI. Finally, we see that C/DI is greater than one if
> 1. A little
manipulation shows that this is equivalent to DI > a/(1 - b).
The term on the right is the break-even level of income, so that we find the
APC is greater than one for income levels in excess of the breakeven; less than
one but positive for DI less than the breakeven.
The APS is S/DI =
=
. Here we can
see that the APS is increasing in DI by virtue of the negative
first term that gets closer to zero as DI increases. Further, it can
be seen that DI is less than zero for DI less than the breakeven,
but positive for DI greater than the breakeven. Finally, we note that
the sum of the APC and the APS equals (
)
+ (
) = 1.
There are non-income determinants of consumption and saving as well: Wealth (W), Expectations (E), and the level of Household Debt (D), all influence the levels of consumption and saving. However, these factors are assumed not to influence the value of the MPC or the MPS. That is, we note that their influence determines the value of a, but not b in our consumption and saving schedules. We may write a = a(W, E, D) so that our consumption and saving schedules become: C = a(W, E, D) + bDI and S = -a(W, E, D) + (1 - b)DI. (Taxes also have an impact on consumption and saving, but their influence arises by altering the level of disposable income, not by fundamentally changing the relationships between C, S, and DI.) By hypothesis, D a/W > 0, D a/D E > 0, and D a/D D < 0, so that increases in wealth or expectations, or decreases in household debt will increase consumption, but decrease saving.